Los Angeles is favored in its matchup with Chicago Cubs on Wednesday, but don’t lay money down on the Dodgers (a -120 favorite) just yet. Despite the odds opening in their favor there are a number of reasons why a bet on Los Angeles is a bad one.
The Dodgers haven’t rewarded bettors recently, with just a 47.4% win percentage when favored in the odds. Los Angeles Dodgers has been even worse when it is favored at home, posting a 6-8 record. The Dodgers have struggled in recent games going 3-7 in their last ten. During that time Los Angeles has posted a -1.3 run differential.
Home field advantage hasn’t lived up to its name for the Dodgers this season. Los Angeles has played to a lackluster 9-9 record at Dodger Stadium.
While Ted Lilly (3-3 4.67) has pitched well recently for the Dodgers, he could be a liability against the Cubs. In his last start against Chicago, Lilly was charged with the loss in a 5-1 defeat.
Carlos Zambrano (4-1 4.38) has been pitching well this season and has gone 2-1 in recent starts. Additionally, Zambrano won his last start against Los Angeles 5-1 on Wednesday, May 4. Zambrano has been going strong on the mound recently, averaging 7.0 innings per game in those starts.
The Dodgers have performed poorly against right-handed pitching lately going 11-17. That’s a problem for Los Angeles, as the Cubs will put righty Zambrano on the mound.
The Dodgers might also be a little undermanned in this game as Rod Bajaras and Aaron Miles are day-to-day.